New Zealand 1–5 Belgium
New Zealand vs Belgium 
Group G · Matchday 16 · 2026-06-26 · Vancouver
1–5final score
0–3we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Belgium deliver as predicted
Belgium beat New Zealand 5–1 in Group G. Scorers: Elijah Just (84'); Leandro Trossard (28'), Leandro Trossard (50'), Kevin De Bruyne (66'), Romelu Lukaku (86'), Alexis Saelemaekers (90+4').
Our model backed Belgium at 88% and predicted 0–3 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — New Zealand: 1 pts from 3, right in line with the 1.5 expected. Belgium: just 5 pts from 3, roughly 2.3 below the 7.3 expected.
New Zealand
· as expected
1 pts from 3, right in line with the 1.5 expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 5 pts from 3, roughly 2.3 below the 7.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +314 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.5 – 3.1
🔥Form D vs D
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.5 xG)