Egypt 1–1 Iran
Egypt vs Iran 
Group G · Matchday 16 · 2026-06-26 · Seattle
1–1final score
1–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Group G
Egypt and Iran drew 1–1 in Group G. Scorers: Mahmoud Saber (5'); Ramin Rezaeian (14').
Our model leaned Egypt (37%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Egypt: 5 pts from 3 — about 1 above the 4 our model expected. Iran: just 3 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 4.1 expected.
Egypt
▲ over-performing
5 pts from 3 — about 1 above the 4 our model expected.
Iran
▼ under-performing
just 3 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 4.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Egypt +6 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.2 – 1.2
🔥Form D vs D
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)