Belgium 1–1 Egypt
Belgium vs Egypt 
Group G · Matchday 5 · 2026-06-15 · Seattle
1–1final score
2–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group G
Belgium and Egypt drew 1–1 in Group G. Scorers: Mohamed Hany (66'); Emam Ashour (19').
Our model leaned Belgium (71%) with a 2–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Belgium: just 9 pts from 6, roughly 2.5 below the 11.5 expected. Egypt: 6 pts from 5, right in line with the 5.7 expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 9 pts from 6, roughly 2.5 below the 11.5 expected.
Egypt
· as expected
6 pts from 5, right in line with the 5.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +190 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.1 – 0.7
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️High-scoring lean (2.8 xG)