Belgium 0–0 Iran
Belgium vs Iran 
Group G · Matchday 11 · 2026-06-21 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
0–0final score
2–0we predicted ✗
✨ AI analysislocked
Stalemate stuns: Belgium flops in LA shutout
Belgium and Iran played to a goalless draw in Los Angeles, completely defying our 2-0 prediction in Belgium's favor. With a 68% win probability and 2.0 xG projected for the Red Devils, this scoreless result marks a shocking miss on confidence.
Belgium underperformed dramatically, earning just 2 points against an expected 4.5 — a -2.5 point swing that torpedoes their Group G ambitions. Iran also disappointed relative to projections, banking 2 points from an expected 2.7, though their draw was the relatively softer letdown.
The model's 68% confidence proved misplaced as neither team could break through despite Belgium's +173 Elo edge and superior expected-goal ratio.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
-2.5 pts vs expectation; 2 actual vs 4.5 expected
Iran
▼ under-performing
-0.7 pts vs expectation; 2 actual vs 2.7 expected
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +173 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.0 – 0.7
🔥Form D vs D
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)