Belgium vs Iran prediction
Belgium vs Iran 
Group G · Matchday 11 · 2026-06-21 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
2–0predicted score
68%Belgium to win
✨ AI analysislocked
Belgium's Elo edge too much for Iran
Belgium enters as heavy favorites with a 173-point Elo advantage and 68% win probability. Our model expects a 2-0 Belgian victory, underpinned by a decisive expected goals gap (2.0 to 0.7) and strong 68% confidence.
Both teams have underperformed: Belgium earned just 1 point vs 2.3 expected, while Iran managed 1 point from 2.2 expected. Each has one match played and will be desperate for three points.
The pace should be balanced but controlled—total xG sits at 2.7. Belgium's quality should dominate.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
1pt from 2.3 expected in opening match
Iran
▼ under-performing
1pt from 2.2 expected in opening match
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +173 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.0 – 0.7
🔥Form D vs D
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)