Iran 2–2 New Zealand
Iran vs New Zealand 
Group G · Matchday 5 · 2026-06-15 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
2–2final score
1–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group G
Iran and New Zealand drew 2–2 in Group G. Scorers: Ramin Rezaeian (32'), Mohammad Mohebbi (64'); Elijah Just (7'), Elijah Just (54').
Our model leaned Iran (66%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Iran: just 3 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 4.1 expected. New Zealand: 1 pts from 3, right in line with the 1.5 expected.
Iran
▼ under-performing
just 3 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 4.1 expected.
New Zealand
· as expected
1 pts from 3, right in line with the 1.5 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Iran +160 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.9 – 0.7
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)