Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands
Tunisia vs Netherlands 
Group F · Matchday 15 · 2026-06-25 · Kansas City
1–3final score
0–3we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Netherlands deliver as predicted
Netherlands beat Tunisia 3–1 in Group F. Scorers: Hazem Mastouri (54'); Ellyes Skhiri (3'), Brian Brobbey (7'), Jan Paul van Hecke (62').
Our model backed Netherlands at 91% and predicted 0–3 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Tunisia: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected. Netherlands: 7 pts from 3, right in line with the 7.2 expected.
Tunisia
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected.
Netherlands
· as expected
7 pts from 3, right in line with the 7.2 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Netherlands +355 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.4 – 3.5
🔥Form LL vs DW
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.9 xG)