Tunisia 0–4 Japan
Tunisia vs Japan 
Group F · Matchday 10 · 2026-06-20 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
0–4final score
0–2we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Japan deliver as predicted
Japan beat Tunisia 4–0 in Group F. Scorers: Daichi Kamada (4'), Ayase Ueda (31'), Ayase Ueda (83'), Junya Ito (69').
Our model backed Japan at 69% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Tunisia: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected. Japan: 5 pts from 4, right in line with the 5.3 expected.
Tunisia
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected.
Japan
· as expected
5 pts from 4, right in line with the 5.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Japan +179 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.7 – 2.1
🔥Form L vs D
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.8 xG)