Netherlands 5–1 Sweden
Netherlands vs Sweden 
Group F · Matchday 10 · 2026-06-20 · Houston
5–1final score
2–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Netherlands deliver as predicted
Netherlands beat Sweden 5–1 in Group F. Scorers: Brian Brobbey (5'), Brian Brobbey (17'), Cody Gakpo (47'), Cody Gakpo (54'), Crysencio Summerville (89'); Anthony Elanga (59').
Our model backed Netherlands at 69% and predicted 2–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Netherlands: just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 9.1 expected. Sweden: 4 pts from 4, right in line with the 3.3 expected.
Netherlands
▼ under-performing
just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 9.1 expected.
Sweden
· as expected
4 pts from 4, right in line with the 3.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Netherlands +181 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.1 – 0.7
🔥Form D vs W
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.8 xG)