Japan 1–1 Sweden
Japan vs Sweden 
Group F · Matchday 15 · 2026-06-25 · Dallas (Arlington)
1–1final score
1–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Group F
Japan and Sweden drew 1–1 in Group F. Scorers: Daizen Maeda (56'); Anthony Elanga (62').
Our model leaned Japan (53%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Japan: 5 pts from 3, right in line with the 4.8 expected. Sweden: 4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.1 expected.
Japan
· as expected
5 pts from 3, right in line with the 4.8 expected.
Sweden
· as expected
4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Japan +93 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.6 – 0.9
🔥Form DW vs WL
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)