Switzerland 2–1 Canada
Switzerland vs Canada 
Group B · Matchday 14 · 2026-06-24 · Vancouver
2–1final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Switzerland deliver as predicted
Switzerland beat Canada 2–1 in Group B. Scorers: Rubén Vargas (46'), Johan Manzambi (57'); Promise David (76').
Our model backed Switzerland at 37% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Switzerland: 7 pts from 3 — about 1.7 above the 5.3 our model expected. Canada: just 4 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 5.1 expected.
Switzerland
▲ over-performing
7 pts from 3 — about 1.7 above the 5.3 our model expected.
Canada
▼ under-performing
just 4 pts from 3, roughly 1.1 below the 5.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Switzerland +84 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.2 – 1.2
🔥Form DW vs DW
🏟️Canada playing at home
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)