Bosnia & Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar

Bosnia & Herzegovina flag Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar Qatar flag
Group B · Matchday 14 · 2026-06-24 · Seattle
3–1final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked

Bosnia & Herzegovina deliver as predicted

Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Qatar 3–1 in Group B. Scorers: Kerim Alajbegovic (29'), Mahmoud Abunada (34'), Ermin Mahmic (80'); Hassan Al-Haydos (42').

Our model backed Bosnia & Herzegovina at 43% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.

Tournament so far — Bosnia & Herzegovina: 4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.4 expected. Qatar: just 1 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 2.6 expected.

Bosnia & Herzegovina flag Bosnia & Herzegovina · as expected 4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.4 expected.
Qatar flag Qatar ▼ under-performing just 1 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 2.6 expected.

Confidence factors

Bosnia & Herzegovina +40 Elo Expected goals 1.4 – 1.1 Form DL vs DL Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)
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