Qatar 1–1 Switzerland
Qatar vs Switzerland 
Group B · Matchday 3 · 2026-06-13 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
1–1final score
0–1we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group B
Qatar and Switzerland drew 1–1 in Group B. Scorers: Miro Muheim (90+4'); Breel Embolo (17').
Our model leaned Switzerland (62%) with a 0–1 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Qatar: just 1 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 2.6 expected. Switzerland: 11 pts from 5 — about 2.7 above the 8.3 our model expected.
Qatar
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 2.6 expected.
Switzerland
▲ over-performing
11 pts from 5 — about 2.7 above the 8.3 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Switzerland +140 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.8 – 1.8
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.6 xG)