South Africa 1–0 South Korea
South Africa vs South Korea 
Group A · Matchday 14 · 2026-06-24 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
1–0final score
0–1we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
South Africa defy the model
South Africa beat South Korea 1–0 in Group A. Scorers: Thapelo Maseko (63').
Our model leaned South Korea (48%) with a 0–1 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — South Africa: 4 pts from 3 — about 1.4 above the 2.6 our model expected. South Korea: 3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected.
South Africa
▲ over-performing
4 pts from 3 — about 1.4 above the 2.6 our model expected.
South Korea
· as expected
3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈South Korea +64 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.0 – 1.5
🔥Form LD vs WL
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)