Mexico 1–0 South Korea
Mexico vs South Korea 
Group A · Matchday 8 · 2026-06-18 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
1–0final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Called to the goal: Mexico 1–0 South Korea
Mexico beat South Korea 1–0 in Group A. Scorers: Luis Romo (50').
Our model backed Mexico at 59% and predicted 1–0 — an exact-score hit.
Tournament so far — Mexico: 12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected. South Korea: 3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected.
Mexico
▲ over-performing
12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected.
South Korea
· as expected
3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Mexico +45 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.7 – 0.8
🔥Form W vs W
🏟️Mexico playing at home
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.6 xG)