Mexico 2–0 South Africa
Mexico vs South Africa 
Group A · Matchday 1 · 2026-06-11 · Mexico City
2–0final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Mexico deliver as predicted
Mexico beat South Africa 2–0 in Group A. Scorers: Julián Quiñones (9'), Raúl Jiménez (67').
Our model backed Mexico at 67% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Mexico: 12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected. South Africa: 4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4 expected.
Mexico
▲ over-performing
12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected.
South Africa
· as expected
4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Mexico +90 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.0 – 0.7
🔥Form — vs —
🏟️Mexico playing at home
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)