Czech Republic 0–3 Mexico

Czech Republic flag Czech Republic vs Mexico Mexico flag
Group A · Matchday 14 · 2026-06-24 · Mexico City
0–3final score
0–2we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked

Mexico deliver as predicted

Mexico beat Czech Republic 3–0 in Group A. Scorers: Mateo Chávez (55'), Julián Quiñones (61'), Álvaro Fidalgo (90+4').

Our model backed Mexico at 67% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.

Tournament so far — Czech Republic: just 1 pts from 3, roughly 2.7 below the 3.7 expected. Mexico: 9 pts from 3 — about 2.4 above the 6.6 our model expected.

Czech Republic flag Czech Republic ▼ under-performing just 1 pts from 3, roughly 2.7 below the 3.7 expected.
Mexico flag Mexico ▲ over-performing 9 pts from 3 — about 2.4 above the 6.6 our model expected.

Confidence factors

Mexico +91 Elo Expected goals 0.7 – 2.0 Form LD vs WW Mexico playing at home Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)
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