Czech Republic 0–3 Mexico
Mexico deliver as predicted
Mexico beat Czech Republic 3–0 in Group A. Scorers: Mateo Chávez (55'), Julián Quiñones (61'), Álvaro Fidalgo (90+4').
Our model backed Mexico at 67% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Czech Republic: just 1 pts from 3, roughly 2.7 below the 3.7 expected. Mexico: 9 pts from 3 — about 2.4 above the 6.6 our model expected.