South Korea 2–1 Czech Republic
South Korea vs Czech Republic 
Group A · Matchday 1 · 2026-06-11 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
2–1final score
0–1we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
South Korea defy the model
South Korea beat Czech Republic 2–1 in Group A. Scorers: Hwang In-Beom (67'), Oh Hyeon-Gyu (80'); Ladislav Krejcí (59').
Our model leaned Czech Republic (40%) with a 0–1 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — South Korea: 3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected. Czech Republic: just 1 pts from 3, roughly 2.7 below the 3.7 expected.
South Korea
· as expected
3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.7 expected.
Czech Republic
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 3, roughly 2.7 below the 3.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Czech Republic +20 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.1 – 1.3
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)