Senegal 5–0 Iraq
Senegal vs Iraq 
Group I · Matchday 16 · 2026-06-26 · Toronto
5–0final score
2–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Senegal deliver as predicted
Senegal beat Iraq 5–0 in Group I. Scorers: Habib Diarra (4'), Ismaïla Sarr (56'), Pape Gueye (59'), Pape Gueye (71'), Iliman Ndiaye (82').
Our model backed Senegal at 71% and predicted 2–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Senegal: 3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.9 expected. Iraq: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.2 below the 1.2 expected.
Senegal
· as expected
3 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.9 expected.
Iraq
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.2 below the 1.2 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Senegal +189 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.1 – 0.7
🔥Form L vs L
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.8 xG)