Norway 1–4 France
Norway vs France 
Group I · Matchday 16 · 2026-06-26 · Boston (Foxborough)
1–4final score
0–2we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
France deliver as predicted
France beat Norway 4–1 in Group I. Scorers: Thelo Aasgaard (21'); Ousmane Dembélé (7'), Ousmane Dembélé (20'), Ousmane Dembélé (32'), Désiré Doué (90+4').
Our model backed France at 80% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Norway: 6 pts from 3 — about 2.1 above the 3.9 our model expected. France: 9 pts from 3 — about 1.2 above the 7.8 our model expected.
Norway
▲ over-performing
6 pts from 3 — about 2.1 above the 3.9 our model expected.
France
▲ over-performing
9 pts from 3 — about 1.2 above the 7.8 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +251 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.6 – 2.5
🔥Form W vs W
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.1 xG)