France 3–1 Senegal
France vs Senegal 
Group I · Matchday 6 · 2026-06-16 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
3–1final score
2–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
France deliver as predicted
France beat Senegal 3–1 in Group I. Scorers: Kylian Mbappé (66'), Kylian Mbappé (90+6'), Bradley Barcola (82'); Ibrahim Mbaye (90+5').
Our model backed France at 79% and predicted 2–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — France: 18 pts from 6 — about 2.1 above the 15.9 our model expected. Senegal: 4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.7 expected.
France
▲ over-performing
18 pts from 6 — about 2.1 above the 15.9 our model expected.
Senegal
· as expected
4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +240 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.5 – 0.6
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.0 xG)