Iraq 1–4 Norway
Iraq vs Norway 
Group I · Matchday 6 · 2026-06-16 · Boston (Foxborough)
1–4final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Norway deliver as predicted
Norway beat Iraq 4–1 in Group I. Scorers: Aymen Hussein (39'); Erling Haaland (29'), Erling Haaland (43'), Leo Østigard (76'), Aymen Hussein (90+6').
Our model backed Norway at 66% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Iraq: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.2 below the 1.2 expected. Norway: 13 pts from 6 — about 6.4 above the 6.6 our model expected.
Iraq
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.2 below the 1.2 expected.
Norway
▲ over-performing
13 pts from 6 — about 6.4 above the 6.6 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Norway +160 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.7 – 1.9
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)