Scotland vs Brazil prediction
Scotland vs Brazil 
Group C · Matchday 14 · 2026-06-24 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
0–2predicted score
84%Brazil to win
✨ AI analysislocked
Brazil's class shines against struggling Scotland
Our model backs Brazil to dominate this matchup with 84% win probability and a predicted 2-0 scoreline. The Seleção's +278 Elo advantage is decisive, while Scotland's expected goals of just 0.5 suggest they'll struggle to create meaningful chances in Miami.
The xG gap (2.8 vs 0.5) underpins our 84% confidence. Brazil's form trajectory is climbing while Scotland sits on 3 points from 2 matches—both teams level with expectations so far, but the differential in attacking quality here is stark.
Scotland will need a historic upset to avoid defeat. Brazil, despite underperforming by 1 point already, should paper over cracks against opposition lacking the creative spark to trouble them.
Scotland
· as expected
On track: 3 points earned vs 3 expected through 2 matches
Brazil
▼ under-performing
Slight underperformance: 4 points earned vs 5 expected through 2 matches
Confidence factors
📈Brazil +278 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.5 – 2.8
🔥Form WL vs DW
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.3 xG)