Brazil 1–1 Morocco
Brazil vs Morocco 
Group C · Matchday 3 · 2026-06-13 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
1–1final score
1–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group C
Brazil and Morocco drew 1–1 in Group C. Scorers: Vinícius Júnior (32'); Ismael Saibari (21').
Our model leaned Brazil (65%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Brazil: just 10 pts from 5, roughly 2.1 below the 12.1 expected. Morocco: 11 pts from 6 — about 2.3 above the 8.7 our model expected.
Brazil
▼ under-performing
just 10 pts from 5, roughly 2.1 below the 12.1 expected.
Morocco
▲ over-performing
11 pts from 6 — about 2.3 above the 8.7 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Brazil +155 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.9 – 0.8
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)