USA 2–0 Australia
USA vs Australia 
Group D · Matchday 9 · 2026-06-19 · Seattle
2–0final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
USA deliver as predicted
USA beat Australia 2–0 in Group D. Scorers: Cameron Burgess (11'), Alex Freeman (43').
Our model backed USA at 63% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — USA: 9 pts from 5, right in line with the 9.4 expected. Australia: 5 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.4 expected.
USA
· as expected
9 pts from 5, right in line with the 9.4 expected.
Australia
· as expected
5 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.4 expected.
Confidence factors
📈USA +63 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.8 – 0.8
🔥Form W vs W
🏟️USA playing at home
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.6 xG)