Germany 7–1 Curaçao

Germany absolutely dismantled Curaçao 7-1 in Houston, far exceeding our predicted 3-0 scoreline. We nailed the winner and margin decisively, but the Mannschaft's attacking prowess proved even more devastating than the model anticipated.

Nmecha, Schlotterbeck, and a double from Havertz set the tone early, before Musiala, Brown, and Undav piled on in the second half. Curaçao grabbed a consolation through Comenencia but were utterly outclassed.

Germany is performing OVER expectation (+0.9 points vs 5.1 predicted across two matches), while Curaçao exceeds theirs slightly (+0.3 points). Our 91% confidence call was vindicated—just undersold Germany's dominance.