Croatia 2–1 Ghana
Croatia vs Ghana 
Group L · Matchday 17 · 2026-06-27 · Philadelphia
2–1final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Croatia deliver as predicted
Croatia beat Ghana 2–1 in Group L. Scorers: Petar Sucic (31'), Nikola Vlasic (83'); Derrick Luckassen (73').
Our model backed Croatia at 66% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Croatia: 6 pts from 3, right in line with the 5.5 expected. Ghana: 4 pts from 3 — about 1.6 above the 2.4 our model expected.
Croatia
· as expected
6 pts from 3, right in line with the 5.5 expected.
Ghana
▲ over-performing
4 pts from 3 — about 1.6 above the 2.4 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Croatia +161 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.9 – 0.7
🔥Form L vs W
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)