Ghana 1–0 Panama
Ghana vs Panama 
Group L · Matchday 7 · 2026-06-17 · Toronto
1–0final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Called to the goal: Ghana 1–0 Panama
Ghana beat Panama 1–0 in Group L. Scorers: Caleb Yirenkyi (90+5').
Our model backed Ghana at 43% and predicted 1–0 — an exact-score hit.
Tournament so far — Ghana: 4 pts from 4 — about 1.1 above the 2.9 our model expected. Panama: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 1.6 expected.
Ghana
▲ over-performing
4 pts from 4 — about 1.1 above the 2.9 our model expected.
Panama
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.6 below the 1.6 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Ghana +40 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.4 – 1.1
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)