Panama 0–1 Croatia

Panama flag Panama vs Croatia Croatia flag
Group L · Matchday 13 · 2026-06-23 · Toronto
0–1final score
0–2we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked

Croatia deliver as predicted

Croatia beat Panama 1–0 in Group L. Scorers: Ante Budimir (54').

Our model backed Croatia at 79% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.

Tournament so far — Panama: just 0 pts from 2, roughly 1.5 below the 1.5 expected. Croatia: 3 pts from 2, right in line with the 3.4 expected.

Panama flag Panama ▼ under-performing just 0 pts from 2, roughly 1.5 below the 1.5 expected.
Croatia flag Croatia · as expected 3 pts from 2, right in line with the 3.4 expected.

Confidence factors

Croatia +241 Elo Expected goals 0.6 – 2.5 Form L vs L High-scoring lean (3.1 xG)
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