Panama vs Croatia prediction
Panama vs Croatia 
Group L · Matchday 13 · 2026-06-23 · Toronto
0–2predicted score
79%Croatia to win
✨ AI analysislocked
Croatia heavy favorites over struggling Panama
Our model backs Croatia at 79% to win, predicting a 2-0 scoreline in Toronto. A +241 Elo advantage underpins the forecast, with xG favoring Croatia 2.5-0.6. Confidence sits at 79%.
Both sides arrive winless: Panama and Croatia each took 0 points from their opening match, underperforming expectations. Panama undershot by 1.2 points, Croatia by 0.8—both need a result badly.
This high-scoring lean (3.1 combined xG) suggests attacking intent despite poor starts. Croatia's quality should prevail against a Panama side that struggled to generate chances.
Panama
▼ under-performing
0 pts vs 1.2 expected; ineffective in opener
Croatia
▼ under-performing
0 pts vs 0.8 expected; underperformed despite Elo edge
Confidence factors
📈Croatia +241 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.6 – 2.5
🔥Form L vs L
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.1 xG)