Uruguay 0–1 Spain
Uruguay vs Spain 
Group H · Matchday 16 · 2026-06-26 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
0–1final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Called to the goal: Uruguay 0–1 Spain
Spain beat Uruguay 1–0 in Group H. Scorers: Álex Baena (42').
Our model backed Spain at 64% and predicted 0–1 — an exact-score hit.
Tournament so far — Uruguay: just 2 pts from 3, roughly 3.6 below the 5.6 expected. Spain: 7 pts from 3, right in line with the 7.7 expected.
Uruguay
▼ under-performing
just 2 pts from 3, roughly 3.6 below the 5.6 expected.
Spain
· as expected
7 pts from 3, right in line with the 7.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Spain +149 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.8 – 1.9
🔥Form D vs D
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.6 xG)