Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay 
Group H · Matchday 5 · 2026-06-15 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
1–1final score
0–2we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group H
Saudi Arabia and Uruguay drew 1–1 in Group H. Scorers: Abdulelah Al-Amri (41'); Maxi Araújo (80').
Our model leaned Uruguay (77%) with a 0–2 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Saudi Arabia: 2 pts from 3, right in line with the 2 expected. Uruguay: just 2 pts from 3, roughly 3.6 below the 5.6 expected.
Saudi Arabia
· as expected
2 pts from 3, right in line with the 2 expected.
Uruguay
▼ under-performing
just 2 pts from 3, roughly 3.6 below the 5.6 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Uruguay +230 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.6 – 2.4
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.0 xG)