Colombia 0–0 Portugal

Colombia flag Colombia vs Portugal Portugal flag
Group K · Matchday 17 · 2026-06-27 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
0–0final score
0–1we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked

Honours even in Group K

Colombia and Portugal drew 0–0 in Group K.

Our model leaned Portugal (51%) with a 0–1 projection, so this one went against us.

Tournament so far — Colombia: 7 pts from 3 — about 1.4 above the 5.6 our model expected. Portugal: just 5 pts from 3, roughly 2.2 below the 7.2 expected.

Colombia flag Colombia ▲ over-performing 7 pts from 3 — about 1.4 above the 5.6 our model expected.
Portugal flag Portugal ▼ under-performing just 5 pts from 3, roughly 2.2 below the 7.2 expected.

Confidence factors

Portugal +79 Elo Expected goals 0.9 – 1.5 Form W vs D Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)
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