Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia
Uzbekistan vs Colombia 
Group K · Matchday 7 · 2026-06-17 · Mexico City
1–3final score
0–2we predicted ✓
📐 model analysisbacktested
Colombia deliver as predicted
Colombia beat Uzbekistan 3–1 in Group K. Scorers: Abbosbek Fayzullaev (60'); Daniel Muñoz (40'), Luis Díaz (65'), Jáminton Campaz (90+9').
Our model backed Colombia at 73% and predicted 0–2 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Uzbekistan: just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected. Colombia: 11 pts from 5 — about 1.4 above the 9.6 our model expected.
Uzbekistan
▼ under-performing
just 0 pts from 3, roughly 1.7 below the 1.7 expected.
Colombia
▲ over-performing
11 pts from 5 — about 1.4 above the 9.6 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Colombia +205 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.6 – 2.2
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️High-scoring lean (2.9 xG)