Portugal 1–1 DR Congo
Portugal vs DR Congo 
Group K · Matchday 7 · 2026-06-17 · Houston
1–1final score
2–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysisbacktested
Honours even in Group K
Portugal and DR Congo drew 1–1 in Group K. Scorers: João Neves (6'); Yoane Wissa (45+5').
Our model leaned Portugal (86%) with a 2–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Portugal: just 8 pts from 5, roughly 2 below the 10 expected. DR Congo: 4 pts from 4 — about 1.4 above the 2.6 our model expected.
Portugal
▼ under-performing
just 8 pts from 5, roughly 2 below the 10 expected.
DR Congo
▲ over-performing
4 pts from 4 — about 1.4 above the 2.6 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Portugal +295 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.9 – 0.5
🔥Form — vs —
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.4 xG)