England vs Argentina prediction
England vs Argentina 
SF · Semi-final · 2026-07-15 · Atlanta
0–1predicted score
48%Argentina to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Too close to call: England v Argentina
Projected Semi-final tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Argentina 48% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 1–1.4).
The edge comes from argentina +63 elo and expected goals 1.0 – 1.4.
Form check: England have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 1 — about 1.1 above the 1.9 our model expected.); Argentina have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.).
England
▲ over-performing
3 pts from 1 — about 1.1 above the 1.9 our model expected.
Argentina
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Argentina +63 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.0 – 1.4
🔥Form WWW vs WWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)