England 1–2 Argentina

England flag England vs Argentina Argentina flag
SF · Semi-final · 2026-07-15 · Atlanta
1–2final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked

Argentina deliver as predicted

Argentina beat England 2–1 in Semi-final. Scorers: Anthony Gordon (55'); Enzo Fernández (86'), Lautaro Martínez (92').

Our model backed Argentina at 46% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.

Tournament so far — England: just 14 pts from 7, roughly 1.6 below the 15.6 expected. Argentina: 17 pts from 7, right in line with the 17.8 expected.

England flag England ▼ under-performing just 14 pts from 7, roughly 1.6 below the 15.6 expected.
Argentina flag Argentina · as expected 17 pts from 7, right in line with the 17.8 expected.

Confidence factors

Argentina +54 Elo Expected goals 1.0 – 1.4 Form DWWWD vs WWDWD Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)
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