England 1–2 Argentina
Argentina deliver as predicted
Argentina beat England 2–1 in Semi-final. Scorers: Anthony Gordon (55'); Enzo Fernández (86'), Lautaro Martínez (92').
Our model backed Argentina at 46% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — England: just 14 pts from 7, roughly 1.6 below the 15.6 expected. Argentina: 17 pts from 7, right in line with the 17.8 expected.