Argentina vs Portugal prediction
Argentina vs Portugal 
QF · Quarter-final · 2026-07-11 · Kansas City
1–0predicted score
56%Argentina to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Argentina edge it in our model
Projected Quarter-final tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Argentina 56% to advance, projecting a 1–0 scoreline (expected goals 1.7–0.9).
The edge comes from argentina +106 elo and expected goals 1.7 – 0.9.
Form check: Argentina have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.); Portugal have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.7 below the 2.7 expected.).
Argentina
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.
Portugal
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.7 below the 2.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Argentina +106 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.7 – 0.9
🔥Form WWW vs DWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)