Spain vs Belgium prediction
Spain vs Belgium 
QF · Quarter-final · 2026-07-10 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
1–0predicted score
56%Spain to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Spain edge it in our model
Projected Quarter-final tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Spain 56% to advance, projecting a 1–0 scoreline (expected goals 1.7–0.9).
The edge comes from spain +108 elo and expected goals 1.7 – 0.9.
Form check: Spain have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.8 below the 2.8 expected.); Belgium have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.3 below the 2.3 expected.).
Spain
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.8 below the 2.8 expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.3 below the 2.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Spain +108 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.7 – 0.9
🔥Form DWW vs DWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)