Spain 2–1 Belgium
Spain vs Belgium 
QF · Quarter-final · 2026-07-10 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
2–1final score
2–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Spain deliver as predicted
Spain beat Belgium 2–1 in Quarter-final. Scorers: Fabián Ruiz (30'), Mikel Merino (88'); Charles De Ketelaere (41').
Our model backed Spain at 72% and predicted 2–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Spain: 16 pts from 6 — about 1.7 above the 14.3 our model expected. Belgium: just 9 pts from 6, roughly 2.8 below the 11.8 expected.
Spain
▲ over-performing
16 pts from 6 — about 1.7 above the 14.3 our model expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 9 pts from 6, roughly 2.8 below the 11.8 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Spain +143 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.3 – 0.8
🔥Form DWWWW vs DDWDW
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.1 xG)