France vs Netherlands prediction
France vs Netherlands 
QF · Quarter-final · 2026-07-09 · Boston (Foxborough)
1–0predicted score
52%France to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Too close to call: France v Netherlands
Projected Quarter-final tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes France 52% to advance, projecting a 1–0 scoreline (expected goals 1.6–0.9).
The edge comes from france +86 elo and expected goals 1.6 – 0.9.
Form check: France have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.5 expected.); Netherlands have been matching expectations (4 pts from 2, right in line with the 4.4 expected.).
France
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.5 expected.
Netherlands
· as expected
4 pts from 2, right in line with the 4.4 expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +86 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.6 – 0.9
🔥Form WWW vs DWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)