Switzerland vs Portugal prediction
Switzerland vs Portugal 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-07 · Vancouver
0–1predicted score
64%Portugal to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Portugal edge it in our model
Projected Round of 16 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Portugal 64% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 0.8–1.9).
The edge comes from portugal +150 elo and expected goals 0.8 – 1.9.
Form check: Switzerland have been matching expectations (4 pts from 2, right in line with the 3.9 expected.); Portugal have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.7 below the 2.7 expected.).
Switzerland
· as expected
4 pts from 2, right in line with the 3.9 expected.
Portugal
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.7 below the 2.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Portugal +150 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.8 – 1.9
🔥Form DWW vs DWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.6 xG)