USA 1–4 Belgium
USA vs Belgium 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-06 · Seattle
1–4final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Belgium deliver as predicted
Belgium beat USA 4–1 in Round of 16. Scorers: Malik Tillman (31'); Charles De Ketelaere (9'), Charles De Ketelaere (33'), Hans Vanaken (57'), Romelu Lukaku (90+3').
Our model backed Belgium at 52% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — USA: 9 pts from 5, right in line with the 9.6 expected. Belgium: just 9 pts from 5, roughly 2.3 below the 11.3 expected.
USA
· as expected
9 pts from 5, right in line with the 9.6 expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 9 pts from 5, roughly 2.3 below the 11.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +84 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.9 – 1.5
🔥Form WWLW vs DDWD
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)