Mexico 2–3 England
Mexico vs England 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-05 · Mexico City
2–3final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
England deliver as predicted
England beat Mexico 3–2 in Round of 16. Scorers: Julián Quiñones (42'), Raúl Jiménez (69'); Jude Bellingham (36'), Jude Bellingham (38'), Harry Kane (60').
Our model backed England at 65% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Mexico: 12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected. England: 13 pts from 5, right in line with the 12.3 expected.
Mexico
▲ over-performing
12 pts from 5 — about 3.3 above the 8.7 our model expected.
England
· as expected
13 pts from 5, right in line with the 12.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈England +159 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.7 – 1.9
🔥Form WWWW vs WDWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)