Germany vs France prediction
Germany vs France 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-04 · Philadelphia
0–1predicted score
54%France to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Too close to call: Germany v France
Projected Round of 16 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes France 54% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 0.9–1.6).
The edge comes from france +97 elo and expected goals 0.9 – 1.6.
Form check: Germany have been matching expectations (6 pts from 2, right in line with the 5.1 expected.); France have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.5 expected.).
Germany
· as expected
6 pts from 2, right in line with the 5.1 expected.
France
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.5 expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +97 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.9 – 1.6
🔥Form WWW vs WWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)