South Korea vs Netherlands prediction

Projected Round of 16 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Netherlands 79% to advance, projecting a 0–2 scoreline (expected goals 0.6–2.5).

The edge comes from netherlands +239 elo and expected goals 0.6 – 2.5.

Form check: South Korea have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 2 — about 1 above the 2 our model expected.); Netherlands have been matching expectations (4 pts from 2, right in line with the 4.4 expected.).