Paraguay 0–1 France
Paraguay vs France 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-04 · Philadelphia
0–1final score
0–3we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
France deliver as predicted
France beat Paraguay 1–0 in Round of 16. Scorers: Kylian Mbappé (70').
Our model backed France at 92% and predicted 0–3 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Paraguay: 5 pts from 5 — about 1.6 above the 3.4 our model expected. France: 15 pts from 5 — about 1.4 above the 13.6 our model expected.
Paraguay
▲ over-performing
5 pts from 5 — about 1.6 above the 3.4 our model expected.
France
▲ over-performing
15 pts from 5 — about 1.4 above the 13.6 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +370 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.4 – 3.6
🔥Form LWDD vs WWWW
⏱️High-scoring lean (4.0 xG)