Canada 0–3 Morocco
Canada vs Morocco 
R16 · Round of 16 · 2026-07-04 · Houston
0–3final score
0–1we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Morocco deliver as predicted
Morocco beat Canada 3–0 in Round of 16. Scorers: Azzedine Ounahi (50'), Azzedine Ounahi (82'), Soufiane Rahimi (90+8').
Our model backed Morocco at 65% and predicted 0–1 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Canada: 7 pts from 5, right in line with the 7.3 expected. Morocco: 11 pts from 5 — about 2.6 above the 8.4 our model expected.
Canada
· as expected
7 pts from 5, right in line with the 7.3 expected.
Morocco
▲ over-performing
11 pts from 5 — about 2.6 above the 8.4 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Morocco +154 Elo
⚽Expected goals 0.8 – 1.9
🔥Form DWLW vs DWWD
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)