Colombia 1–0 Ghana

Colombia flag Colombia vs Ghana Ghana flag
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · Kansas City
1–0final score
2–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked

Colombia deliver as predicted

Colombia beat Ghana 1–0 in Round of 32. Scorers: Jhon Arias (14').

Our model backed Colombia at 72% and predicted 2–0 — the right call on the result.

Tournament so far — Colombia: 10 pts from 4 — about 2 above the 8 our model expected. Ghana: 4 pts from 4 — about 1.1 above the 2.9 our model expected.

Colombia flag Colombia ▲ over-performing 10 pts from 4 — about 2 above the 8 our model expected.
Ghana flag Ghana ▲ over-performing 4 pts from 4 — about 1.1 above the 2.9 our model expected.

Confidence factors

Colombia +195 Elo Expected goals 2.2 – 0.7 Form WWD vs WDL High-scoring lean (2.8 xG)
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