Argentina 1–1 Cape Verde
Argentina vs Cape Verde 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
1–1final score
4–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
null deliver as predicted
Argentina and Cape Verde drew 1–1 in Round of 32. Scorers: Lionel Messi (29'), Lisandro Martínez (92'), Diney Borges (111'); Deroy Duarte (59'), Sidny Lopes Cabral (103').
Our model backed Argentina at 93% and predicted 4–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Argentina: just 10 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 11.1 expected. Cape Verde: 4 pts from 4 — about 2.3 above the 1.7 our model expected.
Argentina
▼ under-performing
just 10 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 11.1 expected.
Cape Verde
▲ over-performing
4 pts from 4 — about 2.3 above the 1.7 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Argentina +442 Elo
⚽Expected goals 4.5 – 0.3
🔥Form WWW vs DDD
⏱️High-scoring lean (4.8 xG)