Australia vs Egypt prediction

Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Egypt 42% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 1.1–1.3).

The edge comes from egypt +30 elo and expected goals 1.1 – 1.3.

Form check: Australia have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 2 — about 1.2 above the 1.8 our model expected.); Egypt have been matching expectations (1 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.5 expected.).