Argentina vs Uruguay prediction
Argentina vs Uruguay 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-03 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
2–0predicted score
77%Argentina to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Argentina strongly fancied
Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Argentina 77% to advance, projecting a 2–0 scoreline (expected goals 2.4–0.6).
The edge comes from argentina +227 elo and expected goals 2.4 – 0.6.
Form check: Argentina have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.); Uruguay have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.5 below the 2.5 expected.).
Argentina
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.8 expected.
Uruguay
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.5 below the 2.5 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Argentina +227 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.4 – 0.6
🔥Form WWW vs DWL
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.0 xG)